Interactive decision case
A historical terminal closure meets an illustrative industrial-equipment network. Inspect how evidence identifies enterprise exposure, how that exposure changes the feasible response portfolio, and how the decision record carries through response, recovery, and learning.
DisclosureHistorical event evidence + illustrative enterprise model. No company is identified and no customer data is used.
DETECT / FEASIBILITY INPUTS
DETECT / AVAILABLE CAPACITY
Compared with zero buffer and no qualified alternate path, the prepared state changes the eligible portfolio from C to BC and keeps $24,000,000 of modeled order value inside the ten-day horizon.
Static map remains complete when WebGL is unavailable. Use the dependency list and evidence table for every map detail.
Geometry: Natural Earth · Track: NOAA NHC
SYNCHRONIZED DEPENDENCY PATH
Select any object to inspect it on the map and in the decision record.
CURRENT SCENARIO / DECISION CLOCK
DECISION RECORD / VERSIONED OBJECT
The record distinguishes evidence, modeling, recommendation, and accountable authorization.
Saved snapshots preserve the assumptions and proposal at each recorded step. This demonstration keeps history for the current page session.
SESSION-LOCAL HISTORY
No snapshots recorded in this page session.
01 / DETECT
Detect begins before disruption: it carries prepared dependencies, buffers, alternatives, and decision rights into current evidence. Geographic proximity establishes potential exposure; the dependency path establishes why it matters.
Observed event geometry. Gulf segment selected from the official six-hour track. Storm geometry does not by itself establish enterprise impact.
Observed operating status. Closure statement retained as dated evidence. The report states terminals closed on 8 and 9 July; it does not quantify this illustrative enterprise model’s consequences.
SELECT A DEPENDENCY OBJECT
supportedobservedsupportedsupportedinferredunresolved02 / DECIDE
Observed event: Port Houston public terminals closed on 8–9 July 2024. The duration control below is a hypothetical planning assumption.
Duration scenarios for portfolio BC. Only the hypothetical duration changes; the action set and other assumptions remain fixed.
Decision-switch sensitivity recalculates the best eligible portfolio at each whole-day duration. First higher switch: 8 days → BDE.
03 / ACT
CrisisFlow evaluates every subset in the five-action set. Conditional and excluded portfolios remain visible.
The declared weighted objective selects BC from the eligible set.
Reposition inventory, activate the qualified supplier path, and preserve priority service.
Normalize inbound flow, manage residual backlog, and reopen the loop if the duration or constraints change.
passedpassedpassedpassedpassedpassedpassedScroll horizontally to compare every objective component. The portfolio key remains visible.
| Portfolio | Status | Cost | Priority | Standard | Total | Objective | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NONE | feasible | $0 | 160 | 240 | 400 | 720 | All applicable checks passed. |
| A | feasible | $1,200,000 | 90 | 135 | 225 | 405 | All applicable checks passed. |
| B | feasible | $900,000 | 120 | 180 | 300 | 540 | All applicable checks passed. |
| AB | excluded | $2,100,000 | 58 | 87 | 145 | 261 | $2,100,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| C | feasible | $400,000 | 120 | 180 | 300 | 540 | All applicable checks passed. |
| AC | excluded | $1,600,000 | 50 | 75 | 125 | 225 | $1,600,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| BC | feasible | $1,300,000 | 80 | 120 | 200 | 360 | All applicable checks passed. |
| ABC | excluded | $2,500,000 | 18 | 27 | 45 | 81 | $2,500,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| D | excluded | $300,000 | 120 | 280 | 400 | 640 | Production resequencing requires customer-priority communication in the same portfolio. |
| AD | excluded | $1,500,000 | 15 | 210 | 225 | 255 | Production resequencing requires customer-priority communication in the same portfolio. |
| BD | excluded | $1,200,000 | 70 | 230 | 300 | 440 | Production resequencing requires customer-priority communication in the same portfolio. |
| ABD | excluded | $2,400,000 | 5 | 140 | 145 | 155 | $2,400,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| CD | excluded | $700,000 | 80 | 220 | 300 | 460 | Production resequencing requires customer-priority communication in the same portfolio. |
| ACD | excluded | $1,900,000 | 5 | 120 | 125 | 135 | $1,900,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| BCD | excluded | $1,600,000 | 30 | 170 | 200 | 260 | $1,600,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| ABCD | excluded | $2,800,000 | 0 | 45 | 45 | 45 | $2,800,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| E | feasible | $100,000 | 160 | 240 | 400 | 720 | All applicable checks passed. |
| AE | feasible | $1,300,000 | 90 | 135 | 225 | 405 | All applicable checks passed. |
| BE | feasible | $1,000,000 | 120 | 180 | 300 | 540 | All applicable checks passed. |
| ABE | excluded | $2,200,000 | 58 | 87 | 145 | 261 | $2,200,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| CE | feasible | $500,000 | 120 | 180 | 300 | 540 | All applicable checks passed. |
| ACE | excluded | $1,700,000 | 50 | 75 | 125 | 225 | $1,700,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| BCE | feasible | $1,400,000 | 80 | 120 | 200 | 360 | All applicable checks passed. |
| ABCE | excluded | $2,600,000 | 18 | 27 | 45 | 81 | $2,600,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| DE | feasible | $400,000 | 120 | 280 | 400 | 640 | All applicable checks passed. |
| ADE | excluded | $1,600,000 | 15 | 210 | 225 | 255 | $1,600,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| BDE | feasible | $1,300,000 | 70 | 230 | 300 | 440 | All applicable checks passed. |
| ABDE | excluded | $2,500,000 | 5 | 140 | 145 | 155 | $2,500,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| CDE | excluded | $800,000 | 80 | 220 | 300 | 460 | Inventory repositioning and production resequencing require the same staging area in this case model. |
| ACDE | excluded | $2,000,000 | 5 | 120 | 125 | 135 | $2,000,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| BCDE | excluded | $1,700,000 | 30 | 170 | 200 | 260 | $1,700,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
| ABCDE | excluded | $2,900,000 | 0 | 45 | 45 | 45 | $2,900,000 exceeds the $1,500,000 response budget. |
04 / LEARN
Saved snapshots keep what was expected, proposed, and authorized as separate states without rewriting earlier entries.
OBSERVATIONS ARRIVE ON DIFFERENT CLOCKS
RECORDED THIS PAGE SESSION
No snapshots or authorization events recorded.
No execution or outcome is simulated. The case demonstrates traceability, deterministic behavior, and constraint handling.
BASELINE PROPOSAL / NOT AUTHORIZED
Across an illustrative network with $2.0B in annualized product flow, the five-day scenario turns a list of possible responses into one feasible, inspectable portfolio.
Evidence parity
Every object shown spatially remains available in a structured table. Evidence state, operating role, and the condition that could change each conclusion stay attached to the object.
| Object | Origin | Case state | Evidence class | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Tier-2 source Gulf polymer producer · inbound resin lane | illustrative | Modeled enterprise object | supported | Illustrative company and route entry point; no real supplier relationship is asserted. |
| 2. Port Houston Port Houston public container terminals | historical | Closed 8–9 July 2024 | observed | Terminal closure is historical; enterprise consequences are modeled. |
| 3. Tier-1 supplier Gulf component supplier | illustrative | Supported indirect path | supported | Dependency exists only inside the disclosed illustrative case. |
| 4. Assembly Texas assembly facility | illustrative | Modeled inventory exposure | supported | Throughput, inventory, and timing are illustrative planning inputs. |
| 5. Distribution North Texas distribution node | illustrative | Conditional propagation | inferred | The displayed dependency is illustrative and awaits operator confirmation. |
| 6. Commitment Priority customer commitment | illustrative | Commitment relationship remains unresolved | unresolved | No real customer, contract, or service obligation is represented. |
Method / CF-ENUM-1.2.0
The browser evaluates every subset of five declared actions. It recommends only portfolios that pass the disclosed budget, timing, capacity, qualification, contract, prerequisite, incompatibility, and authority screens.
The selected result is exact within this five-action set and the disclosed illustrative assumptions. “Feasible” means eligible to propose under those checks; it does not mean authorized or executed.
Download the released input manifest
| ID | Action | Cost | First effect | Modeled effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Alternate-port routing | $1200k | Day 3 | Up to 35 substitute inbound units per day |
| B | Limited supplier shift | $900k | Day 4 | Up to the reserved supplier capacity per day |
| C | Inventory repositioning | $400k | Day 2 | One arrival of 100 additional planning units |
| D | Production resequencing | $300k | Day 2 | Allocate available output to priority demand first |
| E | Customer-priority communication | $100k | Day 1 | Required notification step before resequencing; no physical supply effect |
This demonstration calculates and compares all 32 portfolios for the disclosed illustrative case. The results show how assumptions and constraints change the choice; they do not establish forecast accuracy, causal action effectiveness, or superior real-world outcomes.
Named baseline fixture
At the released baseline—a five-day hypothetical constraint, two inventory days, 25 alternate supplier units per day, and a $1.5 million response budget—the exact eligible proposal is supplier shift plus inventory repositioning. It leaves $16 million of modeled order value outside the ten-day horizon, compared with $32 million under no response.
| Portfolio | Cost | Priority shortfall | Standard shortfall | Weighted objective | Screened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC | $1,300,000 | 80 units | 120 units | 360 weighted units | All 32 subsets |